Active Conflicts & War Risk

This indicator compares countries by Active Conflicts & War Risk. The raw value shows the measured input, while the score normalizes it for international comparison.
1 Iceland1 risk point 1 risk point 99
2 Andorra2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 Greenland2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 Liechtenstein2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 Monaco2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 San Marino2 risk points 2 risk points 98
7 American Samoa4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Anguilla4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Antigua and Barbuda4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Aruba4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Bahamas4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Barbados4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Bermuda4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Bhutan4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Botswana4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 British Virgin Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Brunei4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Cape Verde4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Cayman Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Chile4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Comoros4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Cook Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Curacao4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Dominica4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Dominican Republic4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Equatorial Guinea4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Faroe Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Fiji4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 French Guiana4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Gabon4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Gambia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Gibraltar4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Grenada4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Guadeloupe4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Guam4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Guinea4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Guinea-Bissau4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Guyana4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Hong Kong4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Ivory Coast4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Kiribati4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Lesotho4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Liberia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Luxembourg4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Macau4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Madagascar4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Malawi4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Malaysia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Maldives4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Marshall Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Martinique4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Mauritius4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Mayotte4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Micronesia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Mongolia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Montserrat4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Namibia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Nauru4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 New Caledonia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Niue4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Northern Mariana Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Oman4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Palau4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Panama4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Paraguay4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Puerto Rico4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Réunion4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Saint Kitts and Nevis4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Saint Lucia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Saint Pierre and Miquelon4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Saint-Martin4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Samoa4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 São Tomé and Príncipe4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Senegal4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Seychelles4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Sierra Leone4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Singapore4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Sint Maarten4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Solomon Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Sri Lanka4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Suriname4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Switzerland4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Tahiti4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Timor-Leste4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Tonga4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Trinidad and Tobago4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Tunisia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Turks and Caicos Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Tuvalu4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 U.S. Virgin Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Uruguay4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Vanuatu4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Wallis and Futuna4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Zambia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Zanzibar4 risk points 4 risk points 96
7 Zimbabwe4 risk points 4 risk points 96
98 Austria5 risk points 5 risk points 95
98 Ireland5 risk points 5 risk points 95
98 New Zealand5 risk points 5 risk points 95
98 Portugal5 risk points 5 risk points 95
102 Australia6 risk points 6 risk points 94
102 Canada6 risk points 6 risk points 94
104 Albania8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Belgium8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Croatia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Czech Republic8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Denmark8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 France8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Germany8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Italy8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Montenegro8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Netherlands8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 North Macedonia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Norway8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Slovakia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Slovenia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Spain8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 Sweden8 risk points 8 risk points 92
104 United Kingdom8 risk points 8 risk points 92
121 Belize10 risk points 10 risk points 90
121 Bulgaria10 risk points 10 risk points 90
121 Cyprus10 risk points 10 risk points 90
121 Greece10 risk points 10 risk points 90
121 Hungary10 risk points 10 risk points 90
121 United States10 risk points 10 risk points 90
127 Malta11 risk points 11 risk points 89
128 Bolivia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
128 Cuba12 risk points 12 risk points 88
128 Laos12 risk points 12 risk points 88
128 Nepal12 risk points 12 risk points 88
128 Swaziland12 risk points 12 risk points 88
128 Vietnam12 risk points 12 risk points 88
134 Algeria14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Bahrain14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Bosnia and Herzegovina14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Djibouti14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Japan14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Jordan14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Kazakhstan14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Kuwait14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Nicaragua14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Turkmenistan14 risk points 14 risk points 86
134 Uzbekistan14 risk points 14 risk points 86
145 Argentina15 risk points 15 risk points 85
146 Finland16 risk points 16 risk points 84
146 Peru16 risk points 16 risk points 84
146 United Arab Emirates16 risk points 16 risk points 84
149 South Africa17 risk points 17 risk points 83
150 Estonia18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Jamaica18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Latvia18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Lithuania18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Morocco18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Poland18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Romania18 risk points 18 risk points 82
150 Rwanda18 risk points 18 risk points 82
158 Egypt20 risk points 20 risk points 80
158 Eritrea20 risk points 20 risk points 80
158 Qatar20 risk points 20 risk points 80
161 Congo22 risk points 22 risk points 78
161 El Salvador22 risk points 22 risk points 78
161 Honduras22 risk points 22 risk points 78
161 Papua New Guinea22 risk points 22 risk points 78
165 Kyrgyzstan24 risk points 24 risk points 76
165 Saudi Arabia24 risk points 24 risk points 76
165 Tajikistan24 risk points 24 risk points 76
168 Burundi25 risk points 25 risk points 75
168 Tanzania25 risk points 25 risk points 75
170 Costa Rica26 risk points 26 risk points 74
170 Kosovo26 risk points 26 risk points 74
170 Serbia26 risk points 26 risk points 74
170 Togo26 risk points 26 risk points 74
170 Uganda26 risk points 26 risk points 74
170 Venezuela26 risk points 26 risk points 74
176 Cambodia27 risk points 27 risk points 73
176 Ghana27 risk points 27 risk points 73
178 Mauritania28 risk points 28 risk points 72
178 Moldova28 risk points 28 risk points 72
180 Armenia30 risk points 30 risk points 70
180 Azerbaijan30 risk points 30 risk points 70
180 Georgia30 risk points 30 risk points 70
183 Angola31 risk points 31 risk points 69
184 China32 risk points 32 risk points 68
185 Belarus34 risk points 34 risk points 66
186 Bangladesh35 risk points 35 risk points 65
186 Korea Republic35 risk points 35 risk points 65
188 Turkey37 risk points 37 risk points 63
189 Benin38 risk points 38 risk points 62
189 Western Sahara38 risk points 38 risk points 62
191 Guatemala39 risk points 39 risk points 61
192 Thailand41 risk points 41 risk points 59
193 Chinese Taipei43 risk points 43 risk points 57
194 Brazil44 risk points 44 risk points 56
195 Indonesia45 risk points 45 risk points 55
195 Korea DPR45 risk points 45 risk points 55
197 Iraq46 risk points 46 risk points 54
197 Philippines46 risk points 46 risk points 54
199 Kenya50 risk points 50 risk points 50
200 Ecuador51 risk points 51 risk points 49
201 India53 risk points 53 risk points 47
202 Russia57 risk points 57 risk points 43
203 Chad59 risk points 59 risk points 41
204 Mozambique62 risk points 62 risk points 38
205 Libya64 risk points 64 risk points 36
206 Cameroon65 risk points 65 risk points 35
207 Lebanon66 risk points 66 risk points 34
208 Afghanistan70 risk points 70 risk points 30
208 Mexico70 risk points 70 risk points 30
210 Iran71 risk points 71 risk points 29
210 Pakistan71 risk points 71 risk points 29
212 Niger73 risk points 73 risk points 27
213 Colombia74 risk points 74 risk points 26
214 Central African Republic75 risk points 75 risk points 25
215 Nigeria76 risk points 76 risk points 24
216 Ethiopia80 risk points 80 risk points 20
217 Haiti81 risk points 81 risk points 19
218 South Sudan82 risk points 82 risk points 18
219 Congo DR83 risk points 83 risk points 17
219 Mali83 risk points 83 risk points 17
221 Myanmar85 risk points 85 risk points 15
222 Syria86 risk points 86 risk points 14
223 Israel87 risk points 87 risk points 13
223 Yemen87 risk points 87 risk points 13
225 Burkina Faso90 risk points 90 risk points 10
225 Somalia90 risk points 90 risk points 10
227 Sudan92 risk points 92 risk points 8
227 Ukraine92 risk points 92 risk points 8
229 Palestine96 risk points 96 risk points 4

Last rating: June 12th, 2026

How the Raw Value Is Calculated

The raw value is a Nomadino conflict-risk value in risk points from 0 to 100. 0 means no relevant active conflict or war risk, while 100 means extreme acute conflict exposure.

The starting point is UCDP 26.1 Organized Violence Country-Year 2025 and UCDP Candidate GED through April 2026. The calculation considers state-based conflict, non-state conflict, violence against civilians, event counts, fatalities, conflict types and deaths relative to population.

The calculation combines three blocks: roughly 50% documented organised violence and fatalities, roughly 30% current escalation and event density, and roughly 20% conflict breadth, regional war proximity and structural security context. HIIK Conflict Barometer, Global Peace Index and World Bank WGI are used as plausibility checks.

Nomadino risk floors are minimum values for clearly identifiable special cases. They apply to ongoing war, occupation, severe border escalation, protector-state conflicts, territorial disputes or incomplete data coverage where annual data alone would systematically understate current risk.

For small territories or places without full separate coverage, fallbacks are derived from administering state, regional exposure and plausible comparator countries. Travel advisories and media reports may inform checks, but they do not determine a score by themselves.

The score is then derived directly from the raw value: score = 100 minus raw value. A lower raw value therefore improves the ranking.