Geopolitical Risk

Geopolitical risk from 0 to 100 risk points: international conflict exposure, regional spillover, sovereignty disputes, sanctions/isolation, militarisation pressure and stability reserve. Lower raw values are better; score equals 100 minus raw value.
1 Iceland2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 Liechtenstein3 risk points 3 risk points 97
2 Switzerland3 risk points 3 risk points 97
4 Andorra4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 Faroe Islands4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 Luxembourg4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 Monaco4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 New Zealand4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 Norway4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 San Marino4 risk points 4 risk points 96
4 Singapore4 risk points 4 risk points 96
12 Austria5 risk points 5 risk points 95
12 Denmark5 risk points 5 risk points 95
12 Ireland5 risk points 5 risk points 95
12 Portugal5 risk points 5 risk points 95
16 Anguilla6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Bermuda6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 British Virgin Islands6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Canada6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Cayman Islands6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Montserrat6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Niue6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Saint Pierre and Miquelon6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Turks and Caicos Islands6 risk points 6 risk points 94
16 Wallis and Futuna6 risk points 6 risk points 94
26 Aruba7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Barbados7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Cape Verde7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Cook Islands7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Curacao7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Gibraltar7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Guadeloupe7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Mauritius7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Nauru7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Netherlands7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Réunion7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Saint-Martin7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Seychelles7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Sint Maarten7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Tahiti7 risk points 7 risk points 93
26 Uruguay7 risk points 7 risk points 93
42 American Samoa8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Antigua and Barbuda8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Australia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Bahamas8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Belgium8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Czech Republic8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Dominica8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 French Guiana8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Grenada8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Malta8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Martinique8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 New Caledonia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Northern Mariana Islands8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Palau8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Saint Kitts and Nevis8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Saint Lucia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Samoa8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 São Tomé and Príncipe8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Slovenia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Spain8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Tonga8 risk points 8 risk points 92
42 Tuvalu8 risk points 8 risk points 92
65 Bhutan9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Botswana9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Brunei9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Croatia9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Guam9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Kiribati9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Marshall Islands9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Mayotte9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Micronesia9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Namibia9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Puerto Rico9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 Slovakia9 risk points 9 risk points 91
65 U.S. Virgin Islands9 risk points 9 risk points 91
78 Fiji10 risk points 10 risk points 90
78 Greenland10 risk points 10 risk points 90
78 Italy10 risk points 10 risk points 90
78 Panama10 risk points 10 risk points 90
82 Chile11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Germany11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Hungary11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Lesotho11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Malawi11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Malaysia11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Maldives11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Montenegro11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Suriname11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Sweden11 risk points 11 risk points 89
82 Vanuatu11 risk points 11 risk points 89
93 United Kingdom12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Bulgaria12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Costa Rica12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Dominican Republic12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 France12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Gambia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Macau12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Mongolia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 North Macedonia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Trinidad and Tobago12 risk points 12 risk points 88
94 Zambia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
104 Albania13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Belize13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Comoros13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Gabon13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Paraguay13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Solomon Islands13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Sri Lanka13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Swaziland13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Timor-Leste13 risk points 13 risk points 87
104 Zanzibar13 risk points 13 risk points 87
114 Laos14 risk points 14 risk points 86
114 Liberia14 risk points 14 risk points 86
114 Madagascar14 risk points 14 risk points 86
114 Senegal14 risk points 14 risk points 86
114 Sierra Leone14 risk points 14 risk points 86
119 Argentina15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Bolivia15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Equatorial Guinea15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Ghana15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Guyana15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Jamaica15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Japan15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Kazakhstan15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 Rwanda15 risk points 15 risk points 85
119 South Africa15 risk points 15 risk points 85
129 Ivory Coast16 risk points 16 risk points 84
129 Nepal16 risk points 16 risk points 84
129 Oman16 risk points 16 risk points 84
129 Peru16 risk points 16 risk points 84
129 Uzbekistan16 risk points 16 risk points 84
134 Guinea-Bissau17 risk points 17 risk points 83
134 Hong Kong17 risk points 17 risk points 83
134 Tanzania17 risk points 17 risk points 83
137 El Salvador18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Finland18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Guinea18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Romania18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Tunisia18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Turkmenistan18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Vietnam18 risk points 18 risk points 82
137 Zimbabwe18 risk points 18 risk points 82
145 Cambodia19 risk points 19 risk points 81
145 Congo19 risk points 19 risk points 81
145 Kyrgyzstan19 risk points 19 risk points 81
145 Papua New Guinea19 risk points 19 risk points 81
149 Bosnia and Herzegovina20 risk points 20 risk points 80
149 Estonia20 risk points 20 risk points 80
149 Honduras20 risk points 20 risk points 80
149 Togo20 risk points 20 risk points 80
153 Angola21 risk points 21 risk points 79
153 Brazil21 risk points 21 risk points 79
153 Latvia21 risk points 21 risk points 79
153 Lithuania21 risk points 21 risk points 79
153 Mauritania21 risk points 21 risk points 79
153 Tajikistan21 risk points 21 risk points 79
159 Benin22 risk points 22 risk points 78
159 Guatemala22 risk points 22 risk points 78
159 Thailand22 risk points 22 risk points 78
162 Algeria23 risk points 23 risk points 77
162 Bangladesh23 risk points 23 risk points 77
162 Indonesia23 risk points 23 risk points 77
162 Jordan23 risk points 23 risk points 77
162 Poland23 risk points 23 risk points 77
167 Cyprus24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 Djibouti24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 Greece24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 Morocco24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 Qatar24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 United Arab Emirates24 risk points 24 risk points 76
167 United States24 risk points 24 risk points 76
174 Burundi25 risk points 25 risk points 75
175 Kuwait26 risk points 26 risk points 74
175 Nicaragua26 risk points 26 risk points 74
177 Cuba27 risk points 27 risk points 73
177 Egypt27 risk points 27 risk points 73
177 Uganda27 risk points 27 risk points 73
180 Bahrain28 risk points 28 risk points 72
181 Serbia29 risk points 29 risk points 71
182 Ecuador30 risk points 30 risk points 70
183 Kenya31 risk points 31 risk points 69
183 Philippines31 risk points 31 risk points 69
183 Saudi Arabia31 risk points 31 risk points 69
186 Kosovo32 risk points 32 risk points 68
187 Eritrea35 risk points 35 risk points 65
188 Mexico36 risk points 36 risk points 64
189 Mozambique37 risk points 37 risk points 63
190 Cameroon40 risk points 40 risk points 60
190 Colombia40 risk points 40 risk points 60
192 Korea Republic44 risk points 44 risk points 56
192 Western Sahara44 risk points 44 risk points 56
194 Chad45 risk points 45 risk points 55
194 Turkey45 risk points 45 risk points 55
196 Nigeria47 risk points 47 risk points 53
197 India48 risk points 48 risk points 52
197 Moldova48 risk points 48 risk points 52
199 Ethiopia50 risk points 50 risk points 50
200 Iraq51 risk points 51 risk points 49
201 Georgia52 risk points 52 risk points 48
201 Venezuela52 risk points 52 risk points 48
203 China53 risk points 53 risk points 47
204 Armenia54 risk points 54 risk points 46
205 Azerbaijan56 risk points 56 risk points 44
206 Central African Republic57 risk points 57 risk points 43
207 Haiti58 risk points 58 risk points 42
207 Libya58 risk points 58 risk points 42
209 Niger59 risk points 59 risk points 41
210 Belarus62 risk points 62 risk points 38
210 Chinese Taipei62 risk points 62 risk points 38
210 Pakistan62 risk points 62 risk points 38
213 Burkina Faso66 risk points 66 risk points 34
213 Lebanon66 risk points 66 risk points 34
213 Mali66 risk points 66 risk points 34
216 Afghanistan68 risk points 68 risk points 32
217 Congo DR72 risk points 72 risk points 28
217 Myanmar72 risk points 72 risk points 28
217 South Sudan72 risk points 72 risk points 28
220 Iran74 risk points 74 risk points 26
221 Korea DPR76 risk points 76 risk points 24
222 Somalia77 risk points 77 risk points 23
223 Israel78 risk points 78 risk points 22
224 Yemen80 risk points 80 risk points 20
225 Sudan82 risk points 82 risk points 18
226 Russia84 risk points 84 risk points 16
227 Syria86 risk points 86 risk points 14
228 Palestine90 risk points 90 risk points 10
229 Ukraine92 risk points 92 risk points 8

Last rating: June 13th, 2026

How the Raw Value Is Calculated

The raw value is Nomadino geopolitical risk in risk points from 0 to 100. 0 means very low geopolitical exposure, while 100 means extreme exposure through war, international escalation, sovereignty disputes or hard isolation. Lower is better.

The calculation combines six components: 25% international conflict involvement, 20% regional spillover risk, 15% territorial and sovereignty disputes, 15% sanctions and international isolation, 15% militarisation and arms-pressure context, and 10% diplomatic and institutional stability reserve.

The source families are UCDP, ACLED, HIIK Conflict Barometer, Global Peace Index, World Bank WGI, SIPRI Military Expenditure and Arms Transfers, and OFAC/EU sanctions pages. For territories without full coverage, Nomadino uses documented fallbacks derived from administering state, regional exposure and plausible comparators.

The score is derived directly from the raw value: score = 100 minus raw value. Current geopolitical special situations can trigger minimum risk values so that war, occupation, international sanctions or acute border escalation are not understated by older annual data.