Political Violence

Nomadino political-violence risk index on a 0-100 scale. Lower is better. The raw value combines organized political violence, civilian targeting, violent protest or repression context, current escalation exposure and institutional plausibility checks. Score equals 100 minus raw value.
1 Iceland3 risk points 3 risk points 97
2 Liechtenstein5 risk points 5 risk points 95
2 Singapore5 risk points 5 risk points 95
4 Andorra6 risk points 6 risk points 94
4 Faroe Islands6 risk points 6 risk points 94
4 Monaco6 risk points 6 risk points 94
7 Greenland7 risk points 7 risk points 93
7 San Marino7 risk points 7 risk points 93
7 Switzerland7 risk points 7 risk points 93
10 Luxembourg8 risk points 8 risk points 92
10 Norway8 risk points 8 risk points 92
12 Denmark9 risk points 9 risk points 91
12 Gibraltar9 risk points 9 risk points 91
12 New Zealand9 risk points 9 risk points 91
12 Niue9 risk points 9 risk points 91
12 Saint Pierre and Miquelon9 risk points 9 risk points 91
17 Bermuda10 risk points 10 risk points 90
17 Finland10 risk points 10 risk points 90
17 Montserrat10 risk points 10 risk points 90
17 Wallis and Futuna10 risk points 10 risk points 90
21 Austria11 risk points 11 risk points 89
21 Canada11 risk points 11 risk points 89
21 Cayman Islands11 risk points 11 risk points 89
21 Cook Islands11 risk points 11 risk points 89
21 Ireland11 risk points 11 risk points 89
21 Tahiti11 risk points 11 risk points 89
27 American Samoa12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Anguilla12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Barbados12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 British Virgin Islands12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Brunei12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Macau12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Nauru12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Northern Mariana Islands12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Portugal12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Slovenia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
27 Tuvalu12 risk points 12 risk points 88
38 Aruba13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Bhutan13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Guam13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Mauritius13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Netherlands13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Palau13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Réunion13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Samoa13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Seychelles13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Sweden13 risk points 13 risk points 87
38 Tonga13 risk points 13 risk points 87
49 Antigua and Barbuda14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Grenada14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Guadeloupe14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Marshall Islands14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Martinique14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Micronesia14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 New Caledonia14 risk points 14 risk points 86
49 Uruguay14 risk points 14 risk points 86
57 Australia15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Botswana15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Cape Verde15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Croatia15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Czech Republic15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Dominica15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Estonia15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Kiribati15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 São Tomé and Príncipe15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Slovakia15 risk points 15 risk points 85
57 Turks and Caicos Islands15 risk points 15 risk points 85
68 Belgium16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Curacao16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Cyprus16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Fiji16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Hungary16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Japan16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Maldives16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Namibia16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Oman16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Saint Kitts and Nevis16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Saint-Martin16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Sint Maarten16 risk points 16 risk points 84
68 Vanuatu16 risk points 16 risk points 84
82 United Kingdom17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Bahamas17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 French Guiana17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Latvia17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Lithuania17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Malaysia17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Mayotte17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Mongolia17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Puerto Rico17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Saint Lucia17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 Spain17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 U.S. Virgin Islands17 risk points 17 risk points 83
83 United Arab Emirates17 risk points 17 risk points 83
95 Germany18 risk points 18 risk points 82
95 Italy18 risk points 18 risk points 82
95 Montenegro18 risk points 18 risk points 82
95 North Macedonia18 risk points 18 risk points 82
99 Bahrain19 risk points 19 risk points 81
99 Gambia19 risk points 19 risk points 81
99 Kuwait19 risk points 19 risk points 81
99 Malta19 risk points 19 risk points 81
99 Suriname19 risk points 19 risk points 81
99 Zambia19 risk points 19 risk points 81
105 Bulgaria20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Kazakhstan20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Malawi20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Panama20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Poland20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Qatar20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Romania20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Rwanda20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Senegal20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Solomon Islands20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Sri Lanka20 risk points 20 risk points 80
105 Timor-Leste20 risk points 20 risk points 80
117 Albania21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Chile21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Comoros21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Dominican Republic21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 France21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Gabon21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Guyana21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Lesotho21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Trinidad and Tobago21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Tunisia21 risk points 21 risk points 79
117 Zanzibar21 risk points 21 risk points 79
128 Greece22 risk points 22 risk points 78
128 Jordan22 risk points 22 risk points 78
128 Korea Republic22 risk points 22 risk points 78
128 Paraguay22 risk points 22 risk points 78
128 Sierra Leone22 risk points 22 risk points 78
133 Equatorial Guinea23 risk points 23 risk points 77
133 Ivory Coast23 risk points 23 risk points 77
133 Liberia23 risk points 23 risk points 77
133 Morocco23 risk points 23 risk points 77
137 Belize24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Bosnia and Herzegovina24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Djibouti24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Guinea24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Guinea-Bissau24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Madagascar24 risk points 24 risk points 76
137 Zimbabwe24 risk points 24 risk points 76
144 United States25 risk points 25 risk points 75
145 Algeria26 risk points 26 risk points 74
145 Chinese Taipei26 risk points 26 risk points 74
145 Jamaica26 risk points 26 risk points 74
145 Kyrgyzstan26 risk points 26 risk points 74
149 Kosovo27 risk points 27 risk points 73
149 Mauritania27 risk points 27 risk points 73
149 Nepal27 risk points 27 risk points 73
149 Serbia27 risk points 27 risk points 73
153 Armenia28 risk points 28 risk points 72
153 Congo28 risk points 28 risk points 72
153 Georgia28 risk points 28 risk points 72
153 Moldova28 risk points 28 risk points 72
153 Swaziland28 risk points 28 risk points 72
158 Bolivia29 risk points 29 risk points 71
159 Laos30 risk points 30 risk points 70
159 Peru30 risk points 30 risk points 70
159 Tajikistan30 risk points 30 risk points 70
159 Vietnam30 risk points 30 risk points 70
163 Argentina31 risk points 31 risk points 69
163 South Africa31 risk points 31 risk points 69
165 El Salvador32 risk points 32 risk points 68
165 Honduras32 risk points 32 risk points 68
165 Uzbekistan32 risk points 32 risk points 68
168 Costa Rica33 risk points 33 risk points 67
169 Cambodia34 risk points 34 risk points 66
169 Ghana34 risk points 34 risk points 66
169 Hong Kong34 risk points 34 risk points 66
169 Uganda34 risk points 34 risk points 66
173 Western Sahara35 risk points 35 risk points 65
174 Angola38 risk points 38 risk points 62
174 Azerbaijan38 risk points 38 risk points 62
174 Cuba38 risk points 38 risk points 62
174 Papua New Guinea38 risk points 38 risk points 62
174 Togo38 risk points 38 risk points 62
179 Saudi Arabia40 risk points 40 risk points 60
180 Egypt42 risk points 42 risk points 58
180 Nicaragua42 risk points 42 risk points 58
180 Turkey42 risk points 42 risk points 58
183 China45 risk points 45 risk points 55
184 Tanzania46 risk points 46 risk points 54
184 Venezuela46 risk points 46 risk points 54
186 Bangladesh47 risk points 47 risk points 53
187 Belarus48 risk points 48 risk points 52
187 Thailand48 risk points 48 risk points 52
189 Benin49 risk points 49 risk points 51
190 Burundi50 risk points 50 risk points 50
190 Indonesia50 risk points 50 risk points 50
192 Turkmenistan52 risk points 52 risk points 48
193 Libya53 risk points 53 risk points 47
194 Guatemala54 risk points 54 risk points 46
194 Philippines54 risk points 54 risk points 46
196 Brazil56 risk points 56 risk points 44
197 Kenya57 risk points 57 risk points 43
198 India59 risk points 59 risk points 41
198 Iraq59 risk points 59 risk points 41
200 Eritrea60 risk points 60 risk points 40
201 Ecuador65 risk points 65 risk points 35
201 Lebanon65 risk points 65 risk points 35
203 Russia68 risk points 68 risk points 32
204 Korea DPR72 risk points 72 risk points 28
205 Chad73 risk points 73 risk points 27
206 Mexico76 risk points 76 risk points 24
206 Mozambique76 risk points 76 risk points 24
208 Iran77 risk points 77 risk points 23
209 Afghanistan78 risk points 78 risk points 22
209 Cameroon78 risk points 78 risk points 22
211 Colombia82 risk points 82 risk points 18
211 Ethiopia82 risk points 82 risk points 18
211 Israel82 risk points 82 risk points 18
211 Pakistan82 risk points 82 risk points 18
211 South Sudan82 risk points 82 risk points 18
216 Central African Republic83 risk points 83 risk points 17
217 Nigeria84 risk points 84 risk points 16
218 Niger85 risk points 85 risk points 15
219 Haiti88 risk points 88 risk points 12
219 Mali88 risk points 88 risk points 12
221 Burkina Faso89 risk points 89 risk points 11
221 Myanmar89 risk points 89 risk points 11
221 Yemen89 risk points 89 risk points 11
224 Congo DR90 risk points 90 risk points 10
225 Syria91 risk points 91 risk points 9
225 Ukraine91 risk points 91 risk points 9
227 Somalia92 risk points 92 risk points 8
228 Sudan93 risk points 93 risk points 7
229 Palestine96 risk points 96 risk points 4

Last rating: June 13th, 2026

How the Raw Value Is Calculated

The raw value is a Nomadino political-violence risk index from 0 to 100 risk points. 0 means no measurable domestically motivated political violence, while 100 means extreme exposure to violent acts with political purpose or political effects.

The calculation considers domestic armed clashes, non-state violence, violence against civilians, violent protest and repression contexts, current escalations, fatalities, and the geographic or institutional spread of such violence.

Nomadino combines UCDP data on organised violence and current events with ACLED methodology, ACLED Conflict Index calibration, HIIK conflict intensity, World Bank WGI, V-Dem and existing Nomadino security indicators. General homicide, terrorism, organised crime and geopolitical risk remain separate indicators; here they are used only for plausibility checks.

The score is derived directly from the raw value: score = 100 minus raw value. A lower raw value therefore improves the ranking. Current high-risk situations and highly repressive closed states can trigger minimum values so that state-inflicted political violence is not understated by missing event data.