Drought Risk

Nomadino drought-risk index on a 0-100 risk-point scale. Lower is better. The raw value combines INFORM drought exposure, drought event frequency, FAO ASIS agricultural stress, WRI Aqueduct water stress and drought-risk signals, World Bank/AQUASTAT water scarcity indicators, projected water stress and explicit replacement values for uncovered territories. Score equals 100 minus raw value.
1 Iceland2 risk points 2 risk points 98
2 Liechtenstein7 risk points 7 risk points 93
3 Bhutan8 risk points 8 risk points 92
3 Gabon8 risk points 8 risk points 92
5 Brunei9 risk points 9 risk points 91
5 Liberia9 risk points 9 risk points 91
7 Ireland10 risk points 10 risk points 90
7 Norway10 risk points 10 risk points 90
9 Congo11 risk points 11 risk points 89
9 Sierra Leone11 risk points 11 risk points 89
11 Belize12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Estonia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Faroe Islands12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 French Guiana12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Greenland12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Guinea12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Slovenia12 risk points 12 risk points 88
11 Switzerland12 risk points 12 risk points 88
19 Sweden13 risk points 13 risk points 87
20 Costa Rica14 risk points 14 risk points 86
20 New Zealand14 risk points 14 risk points 86
20 Papua New Guinea14 risk points 14 risk points 86
23 Austria15 risk points 15 risk points 85
23 Finland15 risk points 15 risk points 85
23 Ivory Coast15 risk points 15 risk points 85
23 Laos15 risk points 15 risk points 85
23 Panama15 risk points 15 risk points 85
28 Equatorial Guinea16 risk points 16 risk points 84
28 Latvia16 risk points 16 risk points 84
28 Solomon Islands16 risk points 16 risk points 84
31 Canada17 risk points 17 risk points 83
31 Japan17 risk points 17 risk points 83
31 Myanmar17 risk points 17 risk points 83
31 Netherlands17 risk points 17 risk points 83
35 Dominica18 risk points 18 risk points 82
35 Saint Pierre and Miquelon18 risk points 18 risk points 82
35 São Tomé and Príncipe18 risk points 18 risk points 82
35 Suriname18 risk points 18 risk points 82
39 Benin19 risk points 19 risk points 81
39 Congo DR19 risk points 19 risk points 81
39 Malta19 risk points 19 risk points 81
39 United Kingdom19 risk points 19 risk points 81
43 Belarus20 risk points 20 risk points 80
43 Colombia20 risk points 20 risk points 80
43 Montenegro20 risk points 20 risk points 80
43 Togo20 risk points 20 risk points 80
47 Bosnia and Herzegovina21 risk points 21 risk points 79
47 Croatia21 risk points 21 risk points 79
47 Ghana21 risk points 21 risk points 79
47 Guinea-Bissau21 risk points 21 risk points 79
47 Malaysia21 risk points 21 risk points 79
47 Slovakia21 risk points 21 risk points 79
53 Samoa22 risk points 22 risk points 78
53 Tonga22 risk points 22 risk points 78
55 Cameroon23 risk points 23 risk points 77
55 Czech Republic23 risk points 23 risk points 77
55 Germany23 risk points 23 risk points 77
55 Korea Republic23 risk points 23 risk points 77
55 Venezuela23 risk points 23 risk points 77
60 Ecuador24 risk points 24 risk points 76
60 France24 risk points 24 risk points 76
60 Luxembourg24 risk points 24 risk points 76
63 Central African Republic25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Denmark25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Fiji25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Hungary25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Palau25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Saint Kitts and Nevis25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Saint Lucia25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Trinidad and Tobago25 risk points 25 risk points 75
63 Vanuatu25 risk points 25 risk points 75
73 Lithuania26 risk points 26 risk points 74
74 Timor-Leste27 risk points 27 risk points 73
75 Andorra28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Grenada28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Poland28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Romania28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Serbia28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Seychelles28 risk points 28 risk points 72
75 Ukraine28 risk points 28 risk points 72
82 Nicaragua29 risk points 29 risk points 71
82 Paraguay29 risk points 29 risk points 71
84 Bahamas30 risk points 30 risk points 70
84 Bulgaria30 risk points 30 risk points 70
84 Gambia30 risk points 30 risk points 70
84 Singapore30 risk points 30 risk points 70
88 Nigeria31 risk points 31 risk points 69
88 Rwanda31 risk points 31 risk points 69
88 Uruguay31 risk points 31 risk points 69
91 Bangladesh32 risk points 32 risk points 68
91 Bermuda32 risk points 32 risk points 68
91 Burundi32 risk points 32 risk points 68
91 Guatemala32 risk points 32 risk points 68
91 Mauritius32 risk points 32 risk points 68
91 Niue32 risk points 32 risk points 68
97 Belgium33 risk points 33 risk points 67
97 Georgia33 risk points 33 risk points 67
97 Philippines33 risk points 33 risk points 67
100 Cook Islands34 risk points 34 risk points 66
100 Indonesia34 risk points 34 risk points 66
100 Kosovo34 risk points 34 risk points 66
100 Micronesia34 risk points 34 risk points 66
100 Tahiti34 risk points 34 risk points 66
100 Wallis and Futuna34 risk points 34 risk points 66
106 Antigua and Barbuda35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Barbados35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Brazil35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Cuba35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Dominican Republic35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Guadeloupe35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Guyana35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Honduras35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Maldives35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Martinique35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Russia35 risk points 35 risk points 65
106 Tuvalu35 risk points 35 risk points 65
118 Albania36 risk points 36 risk points 64
118 San Marino36 risk points 36 risk points 64
120 Angola37 risk points 37 risk points 63
120 Nepal37 risk points 37 risk points 63
122 American Samoa38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Chinese Taipei38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Comoros38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 El Salvador38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Guam38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Hong Kong38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Kiribati38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 New Caledonia38 risk points 38 risk points 62
122 Vietnam38 risk points 38 risk points 62
131 Cambodia39 risk points 39 risk points 61
131 North Macedonia39 risk points 39 risk points 61
131 Sri Lanka39 risk points 39 risk points 61
134 Jamaica40 risk points 40 risk points 60
134 Moldova40 risk points 40 risk points 60
134 United States40 risk points 40 risk points 60
137 Argentina41 risk points 41 risk points 59
137 Bolivia41 risk points 41 risk points 59
137 Haiti41 risk points 41 risk points 59
137 Peru41 risk points 41 risk points 59
137 Uganda41 risk points 41 risk points 59
142 Cayman Islands42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Italy42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Macau42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Montserrat42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Nauru42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Northern Mariana Islands42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Puerto Rico42 risk points 42 risk points 58
142 Réunion42 risk points 42 risk points 58
150 Korea DPR44 risk points 44 risk points 56
150 Monaco44 risk points 44 risk points 56
150 South Sudan44 risk points 44 risk points 56
153 Armenia45 risk points 45 risk points 55
153 Azerbaijan45 risk points 45 risk points 55
153 Greece45 risk points 45 risk points 55
153 Portugal45 risk points 45 risk points 55
153 Turkey45 risk points 45 risk points 55
158 China46 risk points 46 risk points 54
158 Tanzania46 risk points 46 risk points 54
160 British Virgin Islands48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Chile48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Kazakhstan48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Lebanon48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Mexico48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Spain48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 U.S. Virgin Islands48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Zambia48 risk points 48 risk points 52
160 Zanzibar48 risk points 48 risk points 52
169 Swaziland49 risk points 49 risk points 51
170 Kyrgyzstan50 risk points 50 risk points 50
170 Madagascar50 risk points 50 risk points 50
170 Mongolia50 risk points 50 risk points 50
170 Mozambique50 risk points 50 risk points 50
170 Turks and Caicos Islands50 risk points 50 risk points 50
175 Anguilla52 risk points 52 risk points 48
175 Australia52 risk points 52 risk points 48
175 Mayotte52 risk points 52 risk points 48
178 Thailand53 risk points 53 risk points 47
179 Senegal54 risk points 54 risk points 46
179 Tajikistan54 risk points 54 risk points 46
181 Aruba55 risk points 55 risk points 45
181 Malawi55 risk points 55 risk points 45
181 Marshall Islands55 risk points 55 risk points 45
181 Saint-Martin55 risk points 55 risk points 45
181 Sint Maarten55 risk points 55 risk points 45
186 Curacao58 risk points 58 risk points 42
186 Kenya58 risk points 58 risk points 42
188 Cape Verde62 risk points 62 risk points 38
188 Ethiopia62 risk points 62 risk points 38
188 Gibraltar62 risk points 62 risk points 38
188 India62 risk points 62 risk points 38
188 Lesotho62 risk points 62 risk points 38
193 Algeria70 risk points 70 risk points 30
193 Cyprus70 risk points 70 risk points 30
193 Morocco70 risk points 70 risk points 30
193 Tunisia70 risk points 70 risk points 30
197 Botswana72 risk points 72 risk points 28
197 Zimbabwe72 risk points 72 risk points 28
199 South Africa73 risk points 73 risk points 27
200 Israel74 risk points 74 risk points 26
200 Pakistan74 risk points 74 risk points 26
200 Palestine74 risk points 74 risk points 26
203 Afghanistan76 risk points 76 risk points 24
203 Burkina Faso76 risk points 76 risk points 24
203 Uzbekistan76 risk points 76 risk points 24
206 Eritrea78 risk points 78 risk points 22
206 Iran78 risk points 78 risk points 22
206 Namibia78 risk points 78 risk points 22
206 Sudan78 risk points 78 risk points 22
206 Turkmenistan78 risk points 78 risk points 22
211 Iraq80 risk points 80 risk points 20
211 Mali80 risk points 80 risk points 20
211 Syria80 risk points 80 risk points 20
214 Oman81 risk points 81 risk points 19
215 Chad82 risk points 82 risk points 18
215 Djibouti82 risk points 82 risk points 18
215 Jordan82 risk points 82 risk points 18
215 Somalia82 risk points 82 risk points 18
215 Yemen82 risk points 82 risk points 18
220 Libya84 risk points 84 risk points 16
220 Mauritania84 risk points 84 risk points 16
220 Niger84 risk points 84 risk points 16
223 Egypt85 risk points 85 risk points 15
224 Saudi Arabia86 risk points 86 risk points 14
225 United Arab Emirates87 risk points 87 risk points 13
226 Bahrain88 risk points 88 risk points 12
227 Kuwait90 risk points 90 risk points 10
227 Qatar90 risk points 90 risk points 10
227 Western Sahara90 risk points 90 risk points 10

Last rating: June 14th, 2026

How the Raw Value Is Calculated

The raw value is Nomadino drought risk in risk points from 0 to 100. 0 means very low structural drought and water-scarcity exposure, while 100 means extreme exposure to dryness, recurring drought, water stress or highly exposed agriculture.

The calculation combines six components: 30% INFORM drought exposure, 20% water stress and freshwater scarcity, 15% historical drought events, 15% agricultural drought, 10% future water stress and 10% maintained Nomadino drought context for countries and territories without full coverage.

The main anchors are the INFORM Risk Index 2026, FAO ASIS, WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and World Bank/AQUASTAT time series for water stress and renewable freshwater per capita. INFORM provides drought exposure, affected people, event frequency and agricultural stress; Aqueduct and AQUASTAT capture structural water pressure.

SPEI, EM-DAT and ThinkHazard are used as public plausibility sources for meteorological drought, documented disaster events and water-scarcity warnings. They do not determine the raw value on their own, but prevent missing event records from being read as missing risk.

Minimum values apply to chronically dry states, extreme water stress, Sahel and desert contexts, small island states with limited freshwater reserves, and territories without complete source coverage. These floors keep structural risks visible without turning the indicator into general climate vulnerability.

Small or dependent territories use explicit Nomadino replacement values derived from administering state, regional water conditions, island or dryland context, available World Bank/Aqueduct values and plausible comparator countries.

The score is derived directly from the raw value: score = 100 minus raw value. A lower raw value therefore improves the ranking.