Earthquake Risk

Nomadino earthquake-risk index on a 0-100 risk-point scale. Lower is better. The raw value combines INFORM earthquake exposure, damaging shaking exposure, ThinkHazard hazard levels, documented high-risk seismic belts, secondary hazards and limited resilience context. Score equals 100 minus raw value.
1 Denmark4 risk points 4 risk points 96
1 Estonia4 risk points 4 risk points 96
1 Finland4 risk points 4 risk points 96
1 Sweden4 risk points 4 risk points 96
5 Bahrain5 risk points 5 risk points 95
5 Latvia5 risk points 5 risk points 95
5 Lithuania5 risk points 5 risk points 95
5 Qatar5 risk points 5 risk points 95
9 Ireland6 risk points 6 risk points 94
9 Niger6 risk points 6 risk points 94
11 Bahamas7 risk points 7 risk points 93
11 Benin7 risk points 7 risk points 93
11 Burkina Faso7 risk points 7 risk points 93
11 Chad7 risk points 7 risk points 93
11 Gambia7 risk points 7 risk points 93
11 Ivory Coast7 risk points 7 risk points 93
17 Cape Verde8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Faroe Islands8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Gabon8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Guyana8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Liberia8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Mauritius8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 São Tomé and Príncipe8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Seychelles8 risk points 8 risk points 92
17 Suriname8 risk points 8 risk points 92
26 Nigeria9 risk points 9 risk points 91
26 Singapore9 risk points 9 risk points 91
28 Mauritania10 risk points 10 risk points 90
28 Palau10 risk points 10 risk points 90
28 Sri Lanka10 risk points 10 risk points 90
28 Swaziland10 risk points 10 risk points 90
28 United Kingdom10 risk points 10 risk points 90
33 Cambodia11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Lesotho11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Maldives11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Mali11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Malta11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Namibia11 risk points 11 risk points 89
33 Western Sahara11 risk points 11 risk points 89
40 Brunei12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Central African Republic12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Greenland12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Guinea12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Guinea-Bissau12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Saint Pierre and Miquelon12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Senegal12 risk points 12 risk points 88
40 Sierra Leone12 risk points 12 risk points 88
48 Nauru13 risk points 13 risk points 87
48 Poland13 risk points 13 risk points 87
48 Sudan13 risk points 13 risk points 87
51 Cameroon14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Kuwait14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Madagascar14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Marshall Islands14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Micronesia14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Netherlands14 risk points 14 risk points 86
51 Tuvalu14 risk points 14 risk points 86
58 Botswana15 risk points 15 risk points 85
58 Luxembourg15 risk points 15 risk points 85
60 Belarus16 risk points 16 risk points 84
60 Czech Republic16 risk points 16 risk points 84
60 Kiribati16 risk points 16 risk points 84
60 Paraguay16 risk points 16 risk points 84
64 Ghana17 risk points 17 risk points 83
64 United Arab Emirates17 risk points 17 risk points 83
64 Uruguay17 risk points 17 risk points 83
67 Belgium18 risk points 18 risk points 82
67 Bermuda18 risk points 18 risk points 82
67 Norway18 risk points 18 risk points 82
67 Togo18 risk points 18 risk points 82
71 Angola19 risk points 19 risk points 81
71 Australia19 risk points 19 risk points 81
71 Congo19 risk points 19 risk points 81
71 Libya19 risk points 19 risk points 81
71 Oman19 risk points 19 risk points 81
76 Comoros20 risk points 20 risk points 80
76 Equatorial Guinea20 risk points 20 risk points 80
78 Brazil21 risk points 21 risk points 79
79 French Guiana22 risk points 22 risk points 78
80 Hungary23 risk points 23 risk points 77
81 Curacao24 risk points 24 risk points 76
81 Hong Kong24 risk points 24 risk points 76
81 South Africa24 risk points 24 risk points 76
84 Zimbabwe25 risk points 25 risk points 75
85 Belize26 risk points 26 risk points 74
85 Malaysia26 risk points 26 risk points 74
85 Somalia26 risk points 26 risk points 74
85 Thailand26 risk points 26 risk points 74
85 Ukraine26 risk points 26 risk points 74
85 Zanzibar26 risk points 26 risk points 74
91 Saudi Arabia27 risk points 27 risk points 73
92 France28 risk points 28 risk points 72
92 Macau28 risk points 28 risk points 72
92 Yemen28 risk points 28 risk points 72
92 Zambia28 risk points 28 risk points 72
96 Aruba29 risk points 29 risk points 71
96 Liechtenstein29 risk points 29 risk points 71
96 South Sudan29 risk points 29 risk points 71
96 Turks and Caicos Islands29 risk points 29 risk points 71
100 Laos30 risk points 30 risk points 70
101 Austria31 risk points 31 risk points 69
101 Grenada31 risk points 31 risk points 69
101 Kenya31 risk points 31 risk points 69
101 Saint Kitts and Nevis31 risk points 31 risk points 69
101 Slovakia31 risk points 31 risk points 69
101 Spain31 risk points 31 risk points 69
107 Vietnam32 risk points 32 risk points 68
108 Germany33 risk points 33 risk points 67
108 Niue33 risk points 33 risk points 67
108 Portugal33 risk points 33 risk points 67
108 Switzerland33 risk points 33 risk points 67
108 Uganda33 risk points 33 risk points 67
113 Dominica34 risk points 34 risk points 66
113 Eritrea34 risk points 34 risk points 66
113 Gibraltar34 risk points 34 risk points 66
113 Monaco34 risk points 34 risk points 66
113 Mozambique34 risk points 34 risk points 66
118 Antigua and Barbuda35 risk points 35 risk points 65
118 Mongolia35 risk points 35 risk points 65
118 Rwanda35 risk points 35 risk points 65
118 Saint Lucia35 risk points 35 risk points 65
118 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines35 risk points 35 risk points 65
123 Barbados36 risk points 36 risk points 64
123 Congo DR36 risk points 36 risk points 64
123 Egypt36 risk points 36 risk points 64
123 Palestine36 risk points 36 risk points 64
123 Samoa36 risk points 36 risk points 64
123 Turkmenistan36 risk points 36 risk points 64
129 Burundi37 risk points 37 risk points 63
129 Ethiopia37 risk points 37 risk points 63
129 Serbia37 risk points 37 risk points 63
129 Slovenia37 risk points 37 risk points 63
129 Tanzania37 risk points 37 risk points 63
134 Andorra38 risk points 38 risk points 62
134 Croatia38 risk points 38 risk points 62
134 Moldova38 risk points 38 risk points 62
134 Montenegro38 risk points 38 risk points 62
134 Morocco38 risk points 38 risk points 62
139 Bosnia and Herzegovina39 risk points 39 risk points 61
139 Cayman Islands39 risk points 39 risk points 61
139 Djibouti39 risk points 39 risk points 61
139 Fiji39 risk points 39 risk points 61
139 Korea Republic39 risk points 39 risk points 61
139 Tunisia39 risk points 39 risk points 61
145 Bulgaria40 risk points 40 risk points 60
145 Korea DPR40 risk points 40 risk points 60
147 Iraq41 risk points 41 risk points 59
147 Romania41 risk points 41 risk points 59
149 Malawi43 risk points 43 risk points 57
150 Tahiti44 risk points 44 risk points 56
151 Saint-Martin45 risk points 45 risk points 55
152 Canada46 risk points 46 risk points 54
152 Cuba46 risk points 46 risk points 54
152 San Marino46 risk points 46 risk points 54
155 Anguilla47 risk points 47 risk points 53
155 Cook Islands47 risk points 47 risk points 53
155 Mayotte47 risk points 47 risk points 53
155 Réunion47 risk points 47 risk points 53
159 North Macedonia49 risk points 49 risk points 51
159 Russia49 risk points 49 risk points 51
161 Israel50 risk points 50 risk points 50
162 Bhutan51 risk points 51 risk points 49
163 Jordan52 risk points 52 risk points 48
163 Kosovo52 risk points 52 risk points 48
163 Timor-Leste52 risk points 52 risk points 48
166 Trinidad and Tobago53 risk points 53 risk points 47
167 British Virgin Islands54 risk points 54 risk points 46
167 Kazakhstan54 risk points 54 risk points 46
167 Sint Maarten54 risk points 54 risk points 46
170 Venezuela55 risk points 55 risk points 45
171 Cyprus56 risk points 56 risk points 44
172 Argentina57 risk points 57 risk points 43
172 Bolivia57 risk points 57 risk points 43
174 Syria58 risk points 58 risk points 42
175 China59 risk points 59 risk points 41
175 Guadeloupe59 risk points 59 risk points 41
175 Martinique59 risk points 59 risk points 41
178 Iceland60 risk points 60 risk points 40
178 Wallis and Futuna60 risk points 60 risk points 40
180 Algeria61 risk points 61 risk points 39
180 United States61 risk points 61 risk points 39
180 Uzbekistan61 risk points 61 risk points 39
183 New Caledonia63 risk points 63 risk points 37
184 American Samoa64 risk points 64 risk points 36
184 Myanmar64 risk points 64 risk points 36
186 Tonga65 risk points 65 risk points 35
187 Bangladesh66 risk points 66 risk points 34
187 Jamaica66 risk points 66 risk points 34
187 Kyrgyzstan66 risk points 66 risk points 34
187 U.S. Virgin Islands66 risk points 66 risk points 34
191 Azerbaijan67 risk points 67 risk points 33
191 Montserrat67 risk points 67 risk points 33
193 India68 risk points 68 risk points 32
193 Lebanon68 risk points 68 risk points 32
195 Georgia70 risk points 70 risk points 30
196 Guam71 risk points 71 risk points 29
196 Northern Mariana Islands71 risk points 71 risk points 29
196 Panama71 risk points 71 risk points 29
196 Puerto Rico71 risk points 71 risk points 29
200 Italy72 risk points 72 risk points 28
200 Mexico72 risk points 72 risk points 28
202 Albania73 risk points 73 risk points 27
203 Honduras74 risk points 74 risk points 26
204 Afghanistan76 risk points 76 risk points 24
204 Dominican Republic76 risk points 76 risk points 24
204 Greece76 risk points 76 risk points 24
204 Nicaragua76 risk points 76 risk points 24
204 Pakistan76 risk points 76 risk points 24
209 Armenia78 risk points 78 risk points 22
209 Colombia78 risk points 78 risk points 22
209 Iran78 risk points 78 risk points 22
209 New Zealand78 risk points 78 risk points 22
209 Tajikistan78 risk points 78 risk points 22
214 Solomon Islands80 risk points 80 risk points 20
215 Costa Rica81 risk points 81 risk points 19
216 Chinese Taipei82 risk points 82 risk points 18
216 Haiti82 risk points 82 risk points 18
216 Vanuatu82 risk points 82 risk points 18
219 Indonesia83 risk points 83 risk points 17
220 El Salvador84 risk points 84 risk points 16
220 Nepal84 risk points 84 risk points 16
220 Turkey84 risk points 84 risk points 16
223 Guatemala87 risk points 87 risk points 13
223 Japan87 risk points 87 risk points 13
223 Papua New Guinea87 risk points 87 risk points 13
223 Peru87 risk points 87 risk points 13
227 Chile88 risk points 88 risk points 12
227 Ecuador88 risk points 88 risk points 12
229 Philippines89 risk points 89 risk points 11

Last rating: June 14th, 2026

How the Raw Value Is Calculated

The raw value is Nomadino earthquake risk in risk points from 0 to 100. 0 means very low seismic exposure, while 100 means extreme exposure to strong ground shaking, exposed population, vulnerable building stock and possible secondary damage.

The calculation combines five components: 35% baseline seismic hazard, 20% exposed population, 20% expected damage vulnerability, 15% documented earthquake and plate-boundary context, and 10% secondary hazards such as tsunami, volcano and landslide proximity.

The main anchor is the INFORM Risk Index 2026. The model uses comparable country values for exposure to MMI VI and MMI VIII earthquake intensity, as absolute and population-related signals. This prevents uninhabited mountain ranges or remote island zones from being treated like densely populated risk areas.

ThinkHazard provides a second public hazard level by country and region. GEM seismic risk profiles, USGS PAGER, the USGS earthquake catalog and EM-DAT are used as plausibility sources for known high-risk settings, historical losses and the interpretation of major events.

Damage vulnerability is deliberately bounded. Good administration, strong rule of law, economic resilience and effective emergency structures can lower risk, but they do not replace low seismic hazard. Conversely, fragile states in strong earthquake belts are not treated as safe merely because individual data series are missing.

Minimum values apply to clearly documented high-risk settings such as Japan, Chile, Nepal, Turkiye, Indonesia, the Philippines, Haiti, Iran, Pakistan, Italy, Greece, New Zealand and active Pacific or Himalayan zones. Ceilings prevent large countries with only regional seismic hazard from being treated as uniformly high risk.

Small or dependent territories use explicit Nomadino replacement values derived from administering state, regional seismic belt, island or coastal position, known events, ThinkHazard guidance and plausible comparator countries.

The score is derived directly from the raw value: score = 100 minus raw value. A lower raw value therefore improves the ranking.